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Report generated on 2023-03-20, 10:51:52 UTC

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AI BETA TESTING v1.16 HIGH THREAT

Using AI techniques, our recent observations of seismic activity in the Arabian Region have revealed a high probability of significant earthquakes to occur in certain areas in the near future. In particular, SOUTHERN IRAN, NORTHWESTERN IRAN, IRAN-IRAQ BORDER REGION, HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN have shown signs of increased seismic activity.

Events considered as possible precursors for future events in the Arabian Region:
UTC Time Latitude Longitude Depth Magnitude Region
2023-02-21T06:05:35.3Z27.855.3810 km Mb 5.3SOUTHERN IRAN SOUTHERN IRAN
2023-02-22T01:11:08.5Z27.7955.3310 km Mb 5.1SOUTHERN IRAN SOUTHERN IRAN
2023-03-16T11:47:20.0Z38.4845.1452 km Mw 5.2NORTHWESTERN IRAN NORTHWESTERN IRAN
2023-03-16T18:32:52.9Z35.2246.1710 km Mb 5.1IRAN-IRAQ BORDER REGION IRAN-IRAQ BORDER REGION
2023-03-18T00:00:54.2Z36.5569.96159 km Mb 5.1HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN
(5 possible precursors found)

The Arabian Plate, Iran, Afghanistan, and Pakistan are located in a seismically active region, where they are at high risk of earthquakes. The region is situated on the boundary between the Arabian Plate and the Eurasian Plate, which are slowly moving towards each other. This collision and the resulting tectonic activity can cause significant earthquakes, especially in Iran and Afghanistan, where the collision is taking place. Additionally, Pakistan is located near the boundary of the Indian Plate and the Eurasian Plate, which can also lead to earthquakes in the region. It's important to note that the region also experiences aftershocks following large earthquakes, which can cause further damage.

AI RESULTS:

M6.0+ EARTHQUAKE EXPECTED IN ARABIAN REGION

It has been 2 day(s), 10 hour(s), 50 minute(s) and 58 second(s) since the last possible considered precursor earthquake in the HINDU KUSH REGION, AFGHANISTAN (Arabian Region), with a magnitude of MB 5.1 at a depth of 159 km, and origin time 2023-03-18T00:00:54.2Z (UTC).

Currently, our AI models have identified 5 possible precursors, in the interval between 2023-02-21T06:05:35.3Z and 2023-03-18T00:00:54.2Z (a timeframe of 24 day(s), 17 hour(s), 55 minute(s) and 19 second(s) interval), that could trigger a significant event in the Arabian Region in the near future.

Despite the passage of time since this event, the seismic threat in the Arabian Region is still considered to be high. This highlights the importance of ongoing monitoring and analysis to better understand the patterns and behaviors of earthquakes in the region.

In conclusion, Arabian Region continues to be closely monitored for seismic activity in light of this latest possible considered precursor. The results of this monitoring and analysis will play a crucial role in improving our ability to predict and respond to earthquakes in the region.

References

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  3. Bolton, D. C., Shreedharan, S., Rivière, J., & Marone, C. (2020). Acoustic energy release during the laboratory seismic cycle: Insights on laboratory earthquake precursors and prediction. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 125(8), e2019JB018975.
  4. Hayakawa, M. (2018). Earthquake precursor studies in Japan. Pre‐Earthquake Processes: A Multidisciplinary Approach to Earthquake Prediction Studies, 7-18.
  5. Uyeda, S. (2013). On earthquake prediction in Japan. Proceedings of the Japan Academy, Series B, 89(9), 391-400.
  6. Lu, K., Hou, M., Jiang, Z., Wang, Q., Sun, G., & Liu, J. (2018). Understanding earthquake from the granular physics point of view—Causes of earthquake, earthquake precursors and predictions. International Journal of Modern Physics B, 32(07), 1850081.
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  8. Tehseen, R., Farooq, M. S., & Abid, A. (2020). Earthquake prediction using expert systems: a systematic mapping study. Sustainability, 12(6), 2420.
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