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Report generated on 2023-02-14, 19:10:12 UTC

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AI BETA TESTING v1.16 STILL VERY HIGH THREAT

Using AI techniques, our recent observations of seismic activity in the Mediterranean Region have revealed a high probability of significant earthquakes to occur in certain areas in the near future. In particular, CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN SEA, AEGEAN SEA, MALTA REGION, EASTERN MEDITERRANEAN SEA, TURKEY-IRAN BORDER REGION have shown signs of increased seismic activity.

Events considered as possible precursors in the Mediterranean Region:
UTC Time Latitude Longitude Depth Magnitude Region
2023-01-18T04:21:59.0Z34.9614.1210 km Mb 5.0CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN SEA CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN SEA
2023-01-18T15:54:46.5Z34.8714.3310 km Mw 5.1CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN SEA CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN SEA
2023-01-19T02:22:27.8Z39.4625.8613 km Mb 5.0AEGEAN SEA AEGEAN SEA
2023-01-23T10:37:53.6Z3514.2110 km Mw 5.1MALTA REGION MALTA REGION
2023-01-24T20:25:35.3Z34.914.310 km Mw 5.3CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN SEA CENTRAL MEDITERRANEAN SEA
2023-01-25T12:37:06.4Z35.7528.5435 km Mw 5.9EASTERN MEDITERRANEAN SEA EASTERN MEDITERRANEAN SEA
2023-01-28T18:14:47.2Z38.4944.9115 km Mw 5.9TURKEY-IRAN BORDER REGION TURKEY-IRAN BORDER REGION
2023-01-30T19:55:33.9Z35.1614.260 km Mb 5.0MALTA REGION MALTA REGION
(8 possible precursors found)

The Mediterranean region is known for its active seismic zone, with a high concentration of earthquakes and volcanic eruptions occurring in the area. This is due to the collision of the African and Eurasian plates, which causes significant tectonic activity.

Updates of notable M6.0+ events in the Mediterranean Region after possible precursor activity:
UTC Time Latitude Longitude Depth Magnitude Region
2023-02-06T01:17:36.1Z37.1737.0820 km Mw 7.8CENTRAL TURKEY CENTRAL TURKEY
2023-02-06T01:28:19.9Z37.1336.8140 km Mw 6.7CENTRAL TURKEY CENTRAL TURKEY
2023-02-06T10:24:49.6Z38.1137.2410 km Mw 7.5CENTRAL TURKEY CENTRAL TURKEY
2023-02-06T10:26:48.5Z38.0337.9620 km Mb 6.0CENTRAL TURKEY CENTRAL TURKEY
2023-02-06T12:02:11.9Z38.0736.475 km Mb 6.0CENTRAL TURKEY CENTRAL TURKEY

AI RESULTS AND SIGNIFICANT FINDINGS:

The results of the AI methods employed in the study of seismic precursor activity in the Mediterranean Region have revealed a significant finding. It has been determined that MW 7.8 earthquake in CENTRAL TURKEY at a depth of 20 km and origin time of 2023-02-06T01:17:36.1Z (UTC) occured in the region 6 day(s), 5 hour(s), 22 minute(s) and 6 second(s) after the last possible considered precursor earthquake in the MALTA REGION (Mediterranean Region), with a magnitude of MB 5.0 at a depth of 60 km, and origin time 2023-01-30T19:55:33.9Z (UTC).

In the past 30 days, our AI models have identified 8 earthquake(s) that could have been possible precursors for the MW 7.8 earthquake in CENTRAL TURKEY at a depth of 20 km and origin time of 2023-02-06T01:17:36.1Z (UTC) between 2023-01-18T04:21:59.0Z and 2023-01-18T04:21:59.0Z (in a timeframe of 12 day(s), 15 hour(s), 33 minute(s) and 12 second(s) interval).

This observation sheds light on the potential relationship between recent seismic activity and earthquakes considered as precursors in the Mediterranean Region. The use of AI techniques in seismic analysis has become increasingly popular in recent years due to its ability to process large amounts of data in a short amount of time. By leveraging these methods, seismologists are able to gain deeper insights into the patterns and behaviors of earthquakes and make more research about future seismic activity. In conclusion, the results of the AI-based study suggest that there may be a connection between possible precursors and powerful earthquakes in the Mediterranean Region. Further research is needed to validate these findings and determine the practical applications of this knowledge in earthquake prediction and response.

References

  1. Ouzounov, D., Pulinets, S., Hattori, K., & Taylor, P. (2018). Pre-earthquake processes: a multidisciplinary approach to earthquake prediction studies (Vol. 234). John Wiley & Sons.
  2. Szakács, A. (2021). Precursor-Based Earthquake Prediction Research: Proposal for a Paradigm-Shifting Strategy. Frontiers in Earth Science, 8, 548398.
  3. Bolton, D. C., Shreedharan, S., Rivière, J., & Marone, C. (2020). Acoustic energy release during the laboratory seismic cycle: Insights on laboratory earthquake precursors and prediction. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 125(8), e2019JB018975.
  4. Hayakawa, M. (2018). Earthquake precursor studies in Japan. Pre‐Earthquake Processes: A Multidisciplinary Approach to Earthquake Prediction Studies, 7-18.
  5. Uyeda, S. (2013). On earthquake prediction in Japan. Proceedings of the Japan Academy, Series B, 89(9), 391-400.
  6. Lu, K., Hou, M., Jiang, Z., Wang, Q., Sun, G., & Liu, J. (2018). Understanding earthquake from the granular physics point of view—Causes of earthquake, earthquake precursors and predictions. International Journal of Modern Physics B, 32(07), 1850081.
  7. Martinelli, G. (2018). Contributions to a history of earthquake prediction research. Pre-Earthquake Processes: A Multidisciplinary Approach to Earthquake Prediction Studies, 67-76.
  8. Tehseen, R., Farooq, M. S., & Abid, A. (2020). Earthquake prediction using expert systems: a systematic mapping study. Sustainability, 12(6), 2420.
  9. Berhich, A., Belouadha, F. Z., & Kabbaj, M. I. (2022). A location-dependent earthquake prediction using recurrent neural network algorithms. Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, 161, 107389.

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